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Climate Adaptation in the Municipality

Climate Risk and Climate Impact Assessment for Municipalities

How a climate risk and impact assessment works: climate signals, exposure, evaluation; the basis for strategy, measures and funding.

Nils Derboven
Nils Derboven

Geodata, GIS and climate analysis · Strategy, product and funding · Khoch3 KlimaKarten

In brief. A climate risk and climate impact assessment shows which climate impacts affect your municipality, how strongly, and where. It links climate data (heat, heavy rain, drought) with your specific local exposure and assesses which risks are most urgent. It forms the basis for strategy, measures and funding applications. Honestly: the assessment does not replace detailed planning, it shows where detailed planning is needed.

Why this matters for your municipality. Without a solid assessment, measures are chosen by gut feeling or political pressure, and are contestable. Funding bodies increasingly demand a traceable risk assessment as justification. Internally, the assessment helps direct scarce resources where they prevent the greatest damage. It is, in effect, insurance against costly misinvestments.

What is the difference between a risk and an impact assessment?

The terms are often mixed up. The climate impact assessment asks: which consequences of climate change affect which areas (health, infrastructure, green space, economy)? The climate risk assessment links these impacts with probability of occurrence and extent of damage, and derives a priority from this. The Umweltbundesamt (UBA, Federal Environment Agency) has shaped the methodology for the federal level with the Klimawirkungs- und Risikoanalyse (KWRA, climate impact and risk assessment); for municipalities it is applied on a smaller, location-specific scale. In practice both steps run into one another.

What data do you need?

Two sides need to come together. First, the climate side: DWD (German Weather Service) figures on hot days and tropical nights, heavy rain and precipitation data, climate projections. Second, the exposure side: where do many older people live, where are daycare centres and clinics, where does the sewer network run, where are sealed surfaces and cold air corridors? Much of this already exists within your administration, in development plans, register-based evaluations, green space and sewer registers. The effort often lies less in procurement than in bringing the data together.

How do you get from the assessment to a decision?

The result is maps and evaluations that make hotspots visible: the overheated neighbourhood square, the depression at risk of flooding, the district with a vulnerable population and little green space. You rank these hotspots by urgency. From this you derive where to plan in more detail first and apply measures. It is important to treat the assessment as a living tool and update it with new data, not as a one-off study in a drawer.

The honest limit. A risk assessment works with models and probabilities, not certainties. It shows where risks are high, not whether and exactly when an event will occur. Detailed studies are then needed for the actual construction implementation. And the quality stands and falls with your input data: outdated registers lead to imprecise results.

When KomAdapt pays off. This is exactly where the risk and exposure analysis module comes in: it brings together climate and exposure data and produces traceable maps and evaluations, without you having to operate several specialist tools in parallel. For the city of Meinerzhagen, heat maps were created this way that concretely locate hotspots. The quickest way to see how this looks is in a demo.

Frequently asked questions

_How long does a municipal climate risk assessment take?_ An initial, overview-style assessment based on existing data is achievable within a few weeks. An in-depth assessment with dedicated data collection takes several months. A staged approach makes sense: screen roughly first, then deepen in a targeted way. _What does a climate risk assessment cost?_ From a few thousand euros for a screening to a five-figure amount for in-depth assessments. Assessments are eligible for funding as part of strategy development under the federal DAS-Förderrichtlinie and partly under state programmes, check the funding before commissioning. _Which data sources are reliable?_ For climate data, DWD and UBA are the central sources. For the exposure side you use your own municipal data. This combination is the most solid basis. _Do we need the assessment before the strategy?_ Yes. The strategy builds on the assessment: only once you know where which risks exist can you derive sensible goals and measures. Without it, the strategy lacks justification, and funding bodies ask precisely about this.

Eingehende Links setzen von: climate-adaptation-municipalities, climate-exposure-analysis, climate-adaptation-strategy-development.

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